A man walked into a kitchen with a cheap revolver and emptied it into a crowd. Eight shots. Nine people hit. One of them the last Kennedy running for president. They pulled the shooter off the steam table with his gun hand pinned. Fifty eight years later people still do not believe the simplest version of what happened. This is the accounting. Every claim below is tied to a document. Read it all, then decide what you still doubt.
Sirhan Bishara Sirhan. Twenty four. Palestinian Christian, born in Jerusalem, raised in Pasadena. He worked odd jobs. He wrote in a notebook, in his own hand, that Robert Kennedy must be killed for promising fifty fighter jets to Israel: "My determination to eliminate R.F.K. is becoming more and more of an unshakable obsession."
He practiced the day before at the San Gabriel Valley Gun Club. He asked the range master for "the best box of shells you have, and I want some that will not misfire." He bought a box of ammunition. He left four hundred empty casings behind on the floor.
In his pockets when they took him: two live .22 rounds, one spent, two newspaper clippings about Kennedy and Israel, and $410.66 in cash, including four one hundred dollar bills.
The gun was an Iver Johnson Cadet, .22 caliber, eight shot revolver, two inch barrel. The LAPD criminalistics report states it plainly: "This weapon had eight expended shell casings in the cylinder at the time of recovery from the suspect." Eight fired. Zero unfired. The gun was empty.
Those eight did this:
| bullet | struck |
|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy, behind the right ear. The fatal shot. |
| 2 | Kennedy, right armpit, through and through. |
| 3 | Kennedy, back. Lodged at the sixth vertebra. |
| 4 | Kennedy's jacket shoulder, then into Paul Schrade, behind him. One bullet, two wounds. |
| 5 | William Weisel, abdomen. |
| 6 | Ira Goldstein, calf. |
| 7 | Irwin Stroll, shin. |
| 8 | Elizabeth Evans, forehead, a ricochet. |
That is the whole count. Nine wound sites, eight bullets, because one bullet went through Kennedy's jacket and into the man behind him. The arithmetic closes. It does not require a second gun.
Four things have kept this case open for fifty eight years. Here is each one, and what the record actually says about it.
One. The fatal bullet never matched the gun. True. It shattered inside the skull and was recovered only in fragments, too broken to match to anything. A .22 at close range fragments. The shattering is the non match. This is the single most repeated second gun argument, and it is the weakest one, because it assumes a clean bullet should have survived contact range through a skull.
Two. The coroner said the shot came from behind. True. The fatal wound entered behind the right ear, inches away. Witnesses said Sirhan was in front. But Kennedy turned as he fell, and the crowd surged. Trajectory from a collapsing body is not a second gunman.
Three. More than eight shots on the tape. A journalist's recorder caught the shooting. One audio analyst counts thirteen shots. Another, using the same tape, counts eight. The recording is forty feet away, through a wall, in a crowd. When two credentialed labs cannot agree on the same tape, the tape settles nothing.
Four. The door frames. Police and FBI agents photographed holes in two door frames and said they looked like bullets. The AP wire ran a caption, "bullet still on the wood." But the officers in that photograph later said they never saw a bullet in the wood, and the lab found no bullet fragments. The frames were destroyed by LAPD after the trial, on a storage space excuse. That destruction is a disgrace. It is not a second gun.
No name carries this case like Thane Eugene Cesar. He is the reason the doubt refuses to die, and he deserves the full accounting.
Cesar was a part time security guard for Ace Guard Service. He was standing directly behind and to the right of Kennedy, holding his elbow, in the exact position the coroner described for the fatal shot. He was armed with a .38 revolver. He said he drew it and did not fire. Police never inspected his gun. They never tested it.
The circumstances around him are genuinely strange, and I will not smooth them over. During the day he worked as a maintenance plumber at Lockheed in Burbank, a job requiring a Department of Defense security clearance. He took the Ace job a week before the assassination. Kennedy was killed on Cesar's second shift.
Afterward he said a supervisor he could not name had, an hour before the shooting, moved him to the very doors where the shots came from. That supervisor was apparently never interviewed. Like Spangler. Like the Ace owners. The people who could have confirmed or denied Cesar's account were never put on the record.
He owned a .22 revolver, the same caliber as the murder weapon. He gave contradictory accounts of when he sold it. He was a far right Wallace supporter who told people he hated the Kennedys and believed Robert would "sell the country down the road to the commies or minorities." He had motive in his own mouth.
And the trajectory of his life afterward is the detail that keeps the whole thing breathing. From Lockheed he went to Hughes Aircraft, a job he said required the second highest clearance at the plant. Howard Hughes. The man whose fixer, Robert Maheu, ran a private security firm called Bel Air Patrol, and whose enemies list included the Kennedys. Cesar went from a defense plant to Hughes to a quiet life, and at the end of it, to the Philippines.
Thane Eugene Cesar died on September 11, 2019, in a Manila hospital, age seventy seven, after a long illness. He had lived quietly in the Philippines for years and raised a family there. His daughter was in Pasay City when she confirmed the death.
There is no payoff. No unexplained wealth. No confession on the deathbed. He never cashed in over fifty one years. The Philippines retirement reads two ways, and both are true at once. To a skeptic it is where an old American on a pension goes when the money runs long. To a believer it is the final quiet stop on a Cold War circuit that ran Lockheed, Hughes, and the American empire in Southeast Asia. The country is lousy with both kinds of old men.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the victim's son, said he planned to meet Cesar in the Philippines, until Cesar demanded $25,000 through his agent. He called the evidence against Cesar compelling. The author Dan Moldea, who interviewed both Cesar and Sirhan, called Cesar an innocent man wrongly accused, stood as godfather to Cesar's son, and held his power of attorney. Two people who dug deepest into the same man reached opposite ends of the earth.
Cesar is the reason this page cannot end clean. He is a guard with a gun, in the right place, with motive in his mouth, a clearance in his file, and a supervisor who was never questioned. That is either the unluckiest set of coincidences in American forensics, or it is the connective tissue nobody was allowed to pull. The documents do not decide it. They only record that nobody tried.
Probability of involvement in the assassination of Robert F. Kennedy. These are judgment calls, not measurements. They are the whole point of this page: the simplest version is almost certainly true, and the doubt is real only because the investigation was run by people who acted guilty.
| name | role in the theories | score |
|---|---|---|
| Sirhan Sirhan | the shooter | 97% |
| Thane Cesar | the second gunman candidate | 10% |
| Robert Maheu | the alleged planner, CIA cutout, Bel Air Patrol owner | 6% |
| Howard Hughes | the alleged financier behind Maheu | 3% |
| J. Edgar Hoover | the alleged suppressor inside the Bureau | 2% |
| Roy Cohn | the alleged mob link, wrong coast, wrong era | 1% |
Sirhan at ninety seven, not one hundred, because certainty is not something this case has earned. The rest trail away to nothing, and even the nothing is padded with a courtesy point for how badly the record was handled.
Every number above traces to a primary document. The ones that matter:
LAPD criminalistics report, eight expended casings in the cylinder. FBI Los Angeles file 56-156, serials 3216-3231, including the Kranz special counsel report (1977). rfk3216-3231.pdf
CIA memorandum 104-10121-10355 (Feb 14, 1969), Maheu owns Bel Air Patrol, Meier under covert security vetting. 104-10121-10355.pdf
NARA RFK assassination records, 2025 declassification release, including the Pruszynski audio of the shooting (CSA-K123). archives.gov/research/rfk
California State Archives, Special Unit Senator (SUS) guide and interview indexes, the Spangler and Hendrix negative finding. guide.pdf
FBI Maheu file, including the 1970 Hughes firing of Maheu and security chief Jack Hooper. robertmaheu-fbi1.pdf
The New York Times, December 15, 1974, seven of eight bullets recovered, Harper's recantation. nytimes.com
Wenke panel (1975), no second gun but the Kennedy bullet could not be matched to Sirhan's revolver. Moldea's Cesar polygraph memorandum. moldea.com/Cesar-polygraph.pdf
Here is the whole thing in one breath.
A maniac bought a box of shells, practiced at a range, wrote down why he was going to do it, walked into a kitchen, and emptied an eight shot revolver into a crowd. One bullet passed through a jacket into a second man, which is why nine wounds came out of eight shots. The bullet that killed Kennedy shattered in his skull, which is why it never matched anything. The coroner's angle and the disputed tape and the destroyed door frames are the wreckage a sloppy investigation leaves behind, and they are real, and none of them add up to a second gunman.
The simplest case is almost certainly the truth. Sirhan Sirhan fired eight shots and killed Robert Kennedy. What keeps the doubt alive is not evidence. It is that the police handled the case so badly that they made themselves indistinguishable from a coverup. A guard with a gun and a clearance and a reason to hate stood in the worst possible place, and the people who could have cleared him were never questioned, and his weapon was never tested, and the door frames were thrown away.
You can build a conspiracy out of that. It is easier than living with the alternative, which is that a stranger with a cheap gun and a grudge did it alone, and the state was too careless to prove even the truth cleanly.
Eight shots. One dead. The rest is the noise a frightened country made trying not to look at it.